When Will Coronavirus End in India
Coronavirus has affected more than 3000 people in India till now. The number of affected people is still on count as there are increasing cases every minute. To stop the spread of COVID 19 in the country at a very fast pace, the government has imposed a nationwide lockdown for 21 days. As the rate of the increasing number of cases is also increasing, it is predicted by the people that the lockdown will get extended in the country. The end of COVID 19 cases depends in large part on uncertainties about the novel coronavirus that causes the disease, including whether you can get it more than once and how quickly the world’s scientists might produce a vaccine. The cost and benefits of a prolonged shutdown and what the country can afford from both an economic and political standpoint will also be combined.
There’s a consensus that the pandemic will only end with the establishment of herd immunity that occurs when enough people in a community are protected from a pathogen that it can’t take hold and dies out. India took a nationwide lockdown strategy to fight against COVID 19.
According to a blog of Deccan Herald, an astrologer named Acharya Vinod Kumar in an Instagram post has predicted that coronavirus will end in India between September and November, reiterating the idea that the virus cannot survive hot weather, the astrologer said that it will fade away as summer starts in India. However, the World Health Organisation (WHO) had stated that there is no truth to this concept.
Is India in Stage 3 of Coronavirus?
India has already reported over 3000 cases of the coronavirus, and as cases are increasing further at a higher rate. Every pandemic has different stages, here are the stages of coronavirus pandemic and what they entail:
Stage 1: Stage 1 is when cases are imported from affected countries without any local origin and only those who have traveled abroad test positive for the symptoms. The disease does not spread locally at this very first stage.
Stage 2: The second stage starts when local transmission happens and its source is known and can be traced. People testing positive has come in contact with a patient who has traveled outside the country. They are usually those in close contact with the patient such as family members, friends or others who have been in touch with the infected person. Fewer people are affected at this stage and it is easier to perform contact tracing and contain the spread via self-quarantining.
Stage 3: This third stage is the stage of community transmission and takes place when the source of an individual’s infection can’t be traced and isolated. During this stage, those who have not been exposed to an infected person or anyone who has a travel history to affected countries still test positive for the virus. The outbreak will spread very fast in clusters once the community transmission starts. India is currently in Stage 3 and according to the official reports, there is no evidence for community transmission for the COVID 19.
Stage 4: Stage 4 is the most dreaded stage during which there are several clusters of the infection and it takes the form of an epidemic. Massive numbers are infected making it very difficult to control and contain the spread of the disease. Following Lockdown guidelines provided by the government in India is very necessary to stop the country from going in this stage.
Vaccine for Coronavirus
Many companies and universities around the world are working on developing a vaccine against coronavirus, but there’s no guarantee they will prevail. Vaccine development normally is a long and complex process that includes years of testing to ensure shots are safe as well as effective. In the case of coronavirus, some of the institutions aim to deliver a vaccine within 12 to 18 months.
Johnson & Johnson announced that they have developed the vaccine and it was effective on rats. They will come up with the vaccine for human beings in the month of September or next year. The US government is funding them for the same.
China is also developing a vaccine for the deadly coronavirus and plans to conduct additional trials in other countries hit by the pandemic if the ongoing trial in the country’s virus epicenter Wuhan proves it is safe and effective. A researcher quoted “If the initial results prove the vaccine is safe and produces (desired) effects, we will continue to test its effectiveness overseas through international cooperation if the global epidemic continues to spread.”
A Hyderabad-based biotech company is also working on developing a nasal vaccine for COVID-19. An international collaboration of virologists at the University of Wisconsin-Madison and the vaccine companies FluGen along with Bharat Biotech has begun the development and testing of a vaccine against COVID-19 called CoroFlu. Dr. Raches Ella, Head of Business Development, Bharat Biotech said “Bharat Biotech will manufacture the vaccine, conduct clinical trials, and prepare to produce almost 300 million doses of vaccine for global distribution. Under the collaboration agreement, FluGen will transfer its existing manufacturing processes to Bharat Biotech to enable the company to scale up production and produce the vaccine for clinical trials.”
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